Most mines are in low-mid income countries that have fared worse than high income countries due to Covid. Contractual obligations were decided in the previous bear market for commodity miners and their governments, so with prices on the rise governments see a chance to reap more profit from their natural resurce exports by raising taxes and royalties. Furthermore, increased risk of nationalisation from left-wing governments such as Chile and Peru threatens stock prices of these mining companies. These tax and nationalisation risks impact valuation prices for mining equities when commodity prices themselves might be rising. Is it best to hedge mining exposure with direct metal investment?
Professional investors can expect to see how a potential commodity super-cycle, coupled with the changing environment from Covid-19, has had an impact on the bifurcation of mining equities and commodity prices themselves.